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Recession, Central Bank Intervention, and Tax Rebates

by: Dark Wraith

Congress recently took upon itself the responsibility for approving of a nice tax rebate check for taxpaying Americans who are then going to go out and spend that money to try to stave off a recession. Unfortunately, by spending that money, all that will happen is that those brave American consumers will throw instant gasoline onto the smoldering fire of spiraling inflation waiting to happen.

Has anyone bothered to ask who's paying for those rebate checks? The U.S. government surely isn't; it bleeds red ink by the hundreds of billions of dollars in budget deficits every year anymore. Ah, of course: it's the Chinese, the Arabs, the Japanese, and the Europeans who are lending us all those greenbacks for the rebates, just like they've been lending us hundreds of billions of dollars all throughout the years of this irresponsible Presidency; and the Chinese, the Arabs, the Japanese, and the Europeans have all those greenbacks to lend us is because we gave them those greenbacks in trade for their cheap imports.

And by the way, those who labor under the impression that this is a great time to jump into the stock market are off their rockers. Over the past several months, the Federal Reserve in coordination with foreign central banks has poured close to half-a-trillion dollars into Wall Street, and every last dime of that money has been sopped up by powerful, global traders who then sell off, thereby sending stocks back down to where they were before the money got pumped in.

Essentially, the Fed is handing hundreds of billions of dollars to the wealthy for the privilege to the American economy of preventing a full-blown crash of the equities markets. At the end of the day, all this will do is make the necessary time of reckoning that much more severe and that much more protracted.

Yes, the money all those central banks have been lending us for our beyond-our-means spending came from us. When we buy imports, what we are doing is trading American dollars for foreign merchandise. The foreign merchandise goes into our homes, bellies, and gas tanks, and the American dollars we pay go into the coffers of the foreign central banks; and because American dollars cannot be spent anywhere else except here in the United States, those foreign central banks repatriate those dollars to our shores by buying our corporations, our shopping malls, our land, and other assets, and by lending huge sums of money to our companies, our consumers, and our government at every level from the municipal to the federal. In the past few months, as our own central bank scrambled frantically to stop the United States stock markets from collapsing in a major crash, those foreign central banks stepped in to help by participating in what amounted to massive investment syndicates to push tens of billions of dollars into the top end of the Wall Street banking and investment system. Much of that money those foreign central banks directly infused vanished within a matter of hours or days as the stock indices went up temporarily, and then dropped right back down to where they had been before the infusions. In other words, the money pumped the stocks up, and then the profit takers sold off to skim the gains, effectively drawing the foreign central bank infusions right back out of the system.

More recently, those foreign central banks holding hundreds of billions of dollars participated substantially in the bailout of Bear Stearns, notwithstanding the mainstream media's treatment of the bailout as having been done by the Federal Reserve, which in reality participated in its most significant role by taking the bad mortgage-backed securities off the books of Bear Stearns and putting the mess into the portfolio of the Fed.

If that sounds like bad business all the way from the part where we're being bailed out by foreign central banks holding dollars they got by selling us cheap imports to the part where our Federal Reserve is now in the business of sopping up the bad investments of a major Wall Street firm, then you are well on your way to being as cynical as the author of this article.

Enjoy those rebate checks, good readers. It's the least you can do for your children and grandchildren, who will be the ones who pay for them.


The Dark Wraith has spoken.


· · · ·

11 comments:

I'm eligible...and must admit I was relieved.
I'm afraid I'm not principled enough to tell them to take it and stick it where the sun don't shine; it's almost enough to pay the property tax...as was the rebate I got from the state last fall. confused

I do wish they'd allow us to pay on this monthly instead of having to pony up a great chunk twice a year...would make things a lot less complicated. ead
by: tali (contact) - 23 Mar '08 - 14:53
i don't get one. even when i'm not whoring jingles i make too much money. that's cool with me.

what bugs me is not that i'm not going to get $600 but that they are spending $5,000.00 per fucking minute down that rathole in iraq while at the same time wanting to start another fucking war in the few months they have left.
by: Minstrel Boy (contact) - 23 Mar '08 - 17:31
And that, good friend, is most likely the reason Vice President Cheney is on a whirlwind tour of the Middle East. Despite the denial of one of his aides, I strongly suspect that chickenhawk war-monger is telling the governments of friendly countries that the time is nigh.

The only thing for which we can hope is that those friendly countries are going to tell Dick Cheney that it is time for him to slither away into the quiet history of failed idiots.

The Dark Wraith would like to see how Cheney would handle that news.
by: Dark Wraith (contact) - 23 Mar '08 - 19:40
At Think Progress, a commenter, on the McCain "slip up":

# Nevar Says:
March 23rd, 2008 at 10:55 am

[i]We sure don’t need a president who has “senior moments”.
It would be going from one extreme to the other, after 7 years of “junior moments”…

ing6 4
by: trog69 (contact) - 24 Mar '08 - 00:24
I guess all that italics would be MY senior moment, but I ain't even that senior, so I gotta find another excuse.

Don't worry...I gotta million of'em!
by: trog69 (contact) - 24 Mar '08 - 00:25
DW, what are the odds that Obama, should he somehow make it, will start allowing the M3 market to be reported again?
by: trog69 (contact) - 24 Mar '08 - 00:28
Good evening, trog.

It is possible that Obama would move to reconstruct the Fed with marching orders for more transparency, but I am not optimistic about that. Governments in general do not back down from laws, regulations, and rules they create. They may modify both language and enforcement, but once they have set a course and achieved a goal of greater posture, less transparency, or constricted rights, they will, at best, create only the appearance of backing off. A great example of this is HIPAA, which poses as a protection of patient information but is, in reality, just the opposite.

The Federal Reserve has become thoroughly infected of an assortment of Right-wingers, neo-conservatives, and various other types I describe as the adherents of Economics Creation Science, and it would take years to get rid of that influence from top to bottom now that it has become entrenched. Part of the mentality of those sorts is that worn-out neo-con idea from Leo Strauss about the "noble lie," and the Fed, even when it had far less fealty to the radical elements within economics and finance, had the very clear notion that lies, hidden decisions, and other defiances of the public's right to know were necessary to maintain well-ordered markets.

Barack Obama, for all his good intentions (and I really do think his intentions are genuinely good) would be a babe in the woods in dealing with the seasoned, entrenched apparatchiks of government; and it is these people who will work silently and quite effectively to eviscerate an Obama presidency of any meaningful change it could try to impose. To some extent, that is good news: Obama knows nothing of the deeply complicated world of economics and finance, and his good intentions could create absolute disasters if he thought good intentions always make for good policy. On the other hand, to the extent that he might be able to get solid advisers, he will nevertheless find that the government he wants is unattainable from the government we have now created. To that extent, then, he would not only be a one-term President, and a failed one at that, but he would leave office knowing that he had failed.

All of that doom-and-gloom having been noted, I do have some reason to be optimistic. Former Fed Chairman Paul Volker expressed what could be interpreted as support for Obama. As I told my macroeconomics classes, this could very reasonably be interpreted as meaning that Volker and a whole slate of old war horses from the time when President Carter had to fix the economy are standing ready to step into the breach and do what has to be done for an Obama White House.

If Obama has even the slightest ounce of sense, he will take the ancient greybeards up on this once-in-a-lifetime offer, and he will do it at the very beginning of his Administration, when his political capital is high enough to ride out the inevitable pain and anger the cure will necessarily and justly elicit from the American people.

We shall see, though.

The Dark Wraith, as usual, holds out little hope for this best-case scenario of decision-making from a candidate who has shown little ability to decide for substance over rhetoric and ridiculously worthless claims in his economics policy statements.
by: Dark Wraith (contact) - 24 Mar '08 - 01:08
"...the bailout of Bear Stearns...

"Bailout"?? Seems more like a federally assisted corporate raider take-over?

And that Carlyle Group gets a super friendly bailing out hand, too... so now they plan on buying an intel/spying contractor?

While the suits get to keep their fat-assed bonuses and perks?

Larry Elliott, the economics editor of the London Guardian, in "America was conned - who will pay?" writes:

Indeed, it is somewhat surprising that there is not already rioting in the streets, given the gigantic fraud perpetrated by the financial elite at the expense of ordinary Americans. [...]

Americans, to put it bluntly, have been conned. They have been duped by a bunch of serpent-tongued hucksters who packed up the wagon and made it across the county line before a lynch mob could be formed.
by: Foiled Goil (contact) - 24 Mar '08 - 01:23
FG, I knew you were smart, but wow! That article was painfully truthful stuff, and as soon as you mentioned Mr. Elliott, I knew that article would be what you would link to. And here I thought I was the only Supeerrr-Geeenious~W. E. C. around! sup
by: trog69 (contact) - 24 Mar '08 - 02:37
Isn't it amazing the info you can get from foreign media, and not our own?
by: Foiled Goil (contact) - 24 Mar '08 - 03:11
Yep. And still no word from our media on the Sibel Edmonds Whistleblower case. It's stated somewhere that "the ones who may be most affected by her testimony, are the ones who have the ability to proclaim "State Secret Privilege".
by: trog69 (contact) - 24 Mar '08 - 03:56



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Title: Recession, Central Bank Intervention, and Tax Rebates
Date posted: 23 Mar '08 - 14:40
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Filed under: Editorial
I Like This: 3 (vote)
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